Breeder’s Cup weekend is finally here!  14 championship races will be run over two days at Churchill Downs.  5 races will be run on Friday featuring the…
Paolo Camera, Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 License

Breeder’s Cup weekend is finally here! 14 championship races will be run over two days at Churchill Downs. 5 races will be run on Friday featuring the juvenile divisions, with the remaining 9 races on Saturday will be contested by 3yr olds and up.

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Instead of focusing on the nuts and bolts of a single race, this week I will provide my top 3 picks, in order, for all 9 of Saturday’s. So let’s get started.

Filly & Mare Sprint

1. Golden Mischief – Closed to a slow place in a great prep. Has improved in 2nd race off a layoff 3 times in a row. Hoping this makes it 4 straight.
2. Marley’s Freedom – traveled farther than anyone in the field and still drew off.
3. Selcourt – 3 race win streak. Will have to battle for the front.

Turf Sprint

1. Chanteline – Will need pace to run at. Has always improved 2nd off of layoff. Speed figures put him a nose in front of Disco Partner.
2. Disco Partner – Should be right behind the speed in a perfect spot.
3. Bucchero – Huge early speed figures.

Dirt Mile

1. Catalina Cruiser – Has never been challenged in his 4 lifetime starts. Won all 4.
2. City of Light – Had a horrible trip in the Forego and finished 2nd, only 1.6 lengths back. Trakus shows he traveled 31 feet farther than the winner.
3. Isotherm – Sat 2 lengths off of monster factions in his last. Finished just behind Accelerate and West Coast, a couple of BC Classic contenders. A more sensible pace and he will be right there.

Filly & Mare Turf

1. A Raving Beauty – Was pressured on the lead at 1m and still won his last. Multiple G1 winner.
2. Sistercharlie – Chad Brown turf trainee has won 3 of 4 this year, all G1 wins.
3. Fourstar Crook – Closed well despite brutally slow paces in his last 2. Hoping for a better setup.

Twinspires Sprint

1. Promises Fulfilled – I think he will be on the front. CD 6f races are won on the front at a 46% clip.
2. Limousine Liberal – Best of the bunch from the back of the pack. I think he will get close.
3. Whitmore – Should be right there, my only concern is the rail draw.

Turf Mile

1. Mustachry – With recent rain and a soft turf course, I am giving an edge to European horses and Mustachry has been running with tons of heart and winning 3 of last 4.
2. Happily – Has been chasing the French phenom Laurens, so this race may be a better spot for her.
3. One Master – Euro shipper has been running well, but the inside post will be a hindrance.

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The Distaff

1. Monomoy Girl – 10-8-2-0 lifetime, highest last race speed rating.
2. Wow Cat – Chilean champion finally found her U.S. groove in her last. If she is back to the top of her game she will be best of the rest
3. Champagne Problems – Blocked in her last and still missed by less than a length. I will give her another chance to get on my trifecta ticket.

BC Turf

1. Enable – Legendary Frankie Dettori hopes to make it 9 in a row for this deserving even money favorite.
2. Hi Happy – Ran wide to a blistering pace and only missed by a neck in the Knickerbocker. The same effort gets her close here.
3. Channel Maker – Seemed to turn things around this summer while winning 2 of 3 top graded stakes. The big change was learning to run up front. Great recent early speed and has held it well.

BC Classic

1. West Coast – lightly raced in 2018 after chasing Gun Runner in 2017, I expect an improved effort off of his 2nd place in the Awesome Again.
2. Thunder Snow – Taking a shot that his 2nd in the Jockey Club Gold Cup will be a springboard to success in the U.S.
3. McKinzie – 3yr old steps up against older but his speed figures fit well and he gets the services of Mike Smith in the irons.