Master NFL betting with expert tips: Get daily parlays, predictions, and more for free.
Last updated: December 13, 2023
A $10 stake on this parlay will return $131 with BetMGM US Sportsbook.
Claim BetMGM’s First Bet Offer and get up to $1500 refunded as bonus bets if your first bet loses.
A $10 stake on this parlay will return $131 with BetMGM US Sportsbook.
Claim BetMGM’s First Bet Offer and get up to $1500 refunded as bonus bets if your first bet loses.
A $10 stake on this parlay will return $144 with BetMGM US Sportsbook.
Claim BetMGM’s First Bet Offer and get up to $1500 refunded as bonus bets if your first bet loses.
Football is the most popular sport in the United States, and naturally, the NFL attracts attention from bettors across the country. The time frame for NFL predictions is significantly shorter than with other leagues like MLB, NBA, or NHL.
Even now, with an extended 18-week season, it is still only 18 weeks of action before the playoffs, which are then over in several weeks. The smaller number of games leaves less room for mistakes and more time for analyzing each match individually.
This is what makes NFL betting so unique. It is both simple and complex at the same time for a variety of reasons. As the case is with almost anything in life, you must invest time and effort to increase your chances of success.
We are here to make this easier for you by covering all the groundwork regarding the all-important statistics and investigating all the relevant parameters through a group of experts. Their knowledge of the league and all the information they possess will represent the essence of this page, through which you will receive NFL expert tips every week during the season.
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We will cover every single game in the regular season and the playoffs, and we will update the picks every single day. The odds and the lines can change in hours, and we will be there to react.
The lines for the next week’s games are usually released on Mondays right after the regular Sunday schedule. We often see sportsbooks in the US making mistakes with their early NFL odds, which is something worth taking advantage of by all means.
You can thus have the Chiefs at -6.5 spread against the Bears on Monday and at -8.5 on Saturday, just a day before the game. Finding the balance between speed (a quick reaction to the early odds and lines) and rationality of the pick is critical.
Our experts will be convinced about some outings more than others, and you will quickly see which the best NFL picks for this week are by looking at the stake for each bet (via units, from 1/10 to 10/10).
The football action gets underway a month before the start of the season. The best teams in the country use this time to test each other via a series of exhibition affairs. Most outfits have three checks during this period, using it to offer young players a chance to battle for the roster spots.
Due to its nature, the preseason offers bettors a wide range of possibilities. The sportsbooks can be late to react to some of the latest news about the rosters as teams tend to make numerous changes within their squads in this type of game.
This is why we will also cover this summer action in full, providing NFL preseason picks daily throughout August until the start of the regular season in September.
Learn More: Which Online Sports Betting Site is Best for NFL Bets?
Hundreds of different markets are up for grabs for each NFL game. Just like with the other sports, three stand out — moneyline betting, spread, and totals betting. The range of different markets has never been more comprehensive because the sportsbooks constantly add new ones to increase entertainment and make every second of a football match matter.
Most Popular NFL Markets | Explanation |
---|---|
Moneyline | Betting on Which Team Will Win |
Spread | Betting on Projected Winning Margin |
Totals | Betting on Over or Under Total Number of Points |
Player Props | Bets For Individual Performances |
Team Props | Bets For Team Performances |
Futures | Betting on Future Events and Season Outcomes |
The easiest way to bet on NFL is via moneyline picks. It is as simple as picking Team A or Team B to win the game. By moneyline, most sportsbooks refer to two-way betting, meaning that a potential tie in a game will result in a push for your wager (you get your stakes back). However, ties are rare in this sport, so you will not see these pushes often.
While moneyline is the simplest way to bet on NFL matches, spread betting is the most popular one by some margin. More often than not, you will find the odds for your preferred team too short. This is where the NFL spread betting comes in handy by leveling the playing field and adding a certain number of points to the underdogs before the start of the game.
Let’s say the Bengals are -300 favorites to see off the Lions. You want a reasonable payout for a $100 stake and can’t get one with the moneyline pick. In this case, spread betting allows you to back the Bengals to beat the Lions by a margin higher than 7 points. It would look like this:
If you back the Bengals and they win the match by a margin higher than seven points, your pick is a winner. If the margin is seven points, the bet is considered a push, and you get your stake back. Any other scenario makes the wager lose.
On the other hand, if you expect a tight affair, you can back the Lions in a +7 spread. In this case, the bet is a winner if the Lions either win, tie, or lose by a margin of fewer than seven points.
This is also the most popular betting market among professionals, so you will frequently see it among our top weekend NFL picks.
This will be yet another very popular market for both regular weekend matches and Sunday night picks on this page. Totals are generally easier to predict in the NFL than in other sports because of all the analysis and statistical parameters available for each team’s offensive and defensive units.
There are no secrets in this segment, as we all (including the sportsbooks) know which teams are better offensively and which defensive lines are tougher to break down.
However, tiny margins leaning towards the Under or the Over can make a massive difference to your success in this market.
Whether it is an injury to an important player, small but significant things your eye caught while watching the team’s previous game, weather, stadium, atmosphere, or anything else, this market keeps giving opportunities.
Props have drastically gained popularity among the US bettors in recent years, and we can only expect the trend to be continued in the years to come. Nowadays, all the best US sportsbooks offer a wide array of team or player props, as well as all kinds of special exotic markets. While these are entertaining, we advise you to mind your stakes while betting on them.
Generally, the more exotic the market, the smaller your chance to land the wager. Some team and player props (in particular) can be fruitful if properly analyzed, so you should not be surprised to see these types of markets in our Monday night picks selections.
Learn More: 2023 NFL Rookie of the Year Betting Odds & Predictions
Parlays are rarely a good idea for professional bettors. Nevertheless, who can resist the packed football action on Sundays during the regular season? We can add excitement by shooting for the stars via the cherry-picked doubles, trebles, and sometimes even 4-fold parlays on Sundays.
Remember that the ultimate long-term profit is achieved via singles, as parlays are only for fun. We will also join the fun train by posting our favorite NFL parlays on Sundays.
If you want the embrace the fun factor through a safer option, NFL teaser parlays represent the way to go. A teaser bet moves the spread lines in your favor to increase your chances of winning.
The odds are proportionally lower, though. So, you can place, for example, a 3-fold 5-point teaser that transforms a -2 spread into a +3 spread, significantly raising your chances. The range of options is massive, allowing you to get innovative with your choices.
|_. Year|_. Results| |2023|Kansas City Chiefs 38-35 Philadelphia Eagles| |2022|Los Angeles Rams 23-20 Cincinnati Bengals| |2021|Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-9 Kansas City Chiefs| |2020|Kansas City Chiefs 31-20 San Francisco 49ers| |2019|New England Patriots 13-3 Los Angeles Rams| |2018|Philadelphia Eagles 41-33 New England Patriots|hursday