Kalshi bettors are turning bearish on the 2026 WSOP Main Event field size.
As we know, Kalshi, the prediction market platform where users can bet on real-world outcomes, currently has a market on whether this year’s WSOP Main Event will surpass 10,000 entries. And right now, the odds aren’t looking great.
What was once viewed as slightly better than a coin flip after the WSOP schedule release has now dropped to just a 34% chance of eclipsing the 10,000-entry mark again. That sharp decline seems to have happened after the payment methods were revealed, along with the 2% fee on credit cards and PayPal. Maybe that’s the reason?
That said, trading volume has been pretty small so far, only around $27,000 wagered, so this could simply reflect a shift in sentiment among a handful of bettors rather than the broader poker community.
Last year’s WSOP Main Event drew 9,735 entries, falling short after two consecutive record-breaking years above 10,000. Some pointed to softer Vegas tourism numbers and the impact of Trump-era policies and rhetoric on international travel as contributing factors.
Maybe this year rebounds. But for now, Kalshi bettors aren’t convinced.
What do you think — does the 2026 WSOP Main Event get back above 10,000 entries?