US Open 2023: Betting Odds, Expert Picks, & Predictions

Get ready for an exhilarating showdown on the tennis court as the 2023 US Open approaches! Carlos Alcaraz and Iga Świątek, reigning champions and World No. 1 players, are set to light up the tournament with their exceptional skills.

As the excitement builds, Novak Djokovic, a 23-slam winner, looms as a formidable challenge for Alcaraz. On the women’s side, the field of contenders is wide open, promising thrilling matchups and unexpected outcomes.

Whether you’re a passionate tennis fan or looking to get into tennis betting, this year’s Big Apple tennis spectacle is poised to deliver unforgettable moments.

In this article, we delve into the hottest predictions, expert analyses, and key insights about the main title contenders at Flushing Meadows, offering a comprehensive guide for tennis fans and sports betting enthusiasts alike.

Learn More: Sports Betting 101: Betting on Tennis

Carlos Alcaraz to Back up His Wimbledon Title, Paid at +125 at DraftKings

Carlos Alcaraz is currently slightly favored ahead of Novak Djokovic in their neck-and-neck race, bringing us two blockbuster clashes in the previous two grand slams.

The young Spaniard was favored in Paris, where he succumbed to a disappointing semifinal defeat to the famous rival. The players shared two phenomenal sets before cramps interfered with Carlos’ ambitions of staying competitive, as the ruthless Serbian gave him just two games across the final two sets of the clash. Novak won his record-breaking 23rd slam title by beating Casper Ruud in straight sets in the final of the 2023 French Open.

Djokovic then entered the third major of the year as a standout candidate for the throne, having already conquered both Melbourne and Paris this season. He looked unstoppable all the way to the final, where a familiar face awaited him.

And indeed, Carlos got his revenge in Novak’s living room, shockingly beating Djokovic in five scintillating sets on the center court of the All England Club to claim his maiden Wimbledon silverware. It was the second grand slam title of his career, the first one coming just in the previous edition of the US Open.

Since then, Carlitos has picked up a couple of narrow wins for his country in Hopman Cup against David Goffin and Borna Coric before suffering a surprising quarterfinal exit at the 1000 Masters in Toronto. The World No. 1 fell in three sets to American Tommy Paul.

Nevertheless, we should take this defeat with a pinch of salt, knowing the Spaniard has been even worse in the US Open warm-ups in Montreal and Cincinnati last year before winning his inaugural major trophy in the Big Apple.

Interestingly, Alcaraz also came short of Tommy Paul last year in Canada in the second round before being stopped by British No. 1 Cameron Norrie in the quarterfinal of Cincinnati.

Alcaraz will arrive in New York full of confidence after the Wimbledon title and the five-set victory over one of the greatest players of all time. Knowing about his playing qualities (the boy does not have a single weak side in his game) and the displays he showed last year at Flushing Meadows, we have to consider him the main favorite. Is he worth backing to go all the way at the main favorite, though at plus odds? Yes!

Bet on Carlos Alcaraz at +125 at DraftKings »

Novak Has Won 23 Slams, Yet Only 3 in New York — Why?

Novak Djokovic is arguably the best player in the game’s history. All significant parameters point to his direction, especially after his record 23rd grand slam title this May at Roland Garros.

Novak himself claims that the hard court is his favorite surface. However, the legendary Serbian has only taken three US Open titles during his lengthy and wealthy career. Something does not add up here, right?

The answer lies in the combination of several factors. First of all, New York’s synthetic hard surface is slower than standard hard court surfaces and significantly slower than Melbourne’s acrylic hard court. When you add very hot and humid weather in Australia, it is easy to see why the Serbian has historically had much more success Down Under.

That said, Novak would have still certainly claimed more US Open trophies had he not faced some out-of-this-planet handicaps over the years. He will not regret the defeats in the finals against Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal at the peaks of their powers more than a decade ago. He will regret the injuries, US laws, and huge misfortunes.

Novak lost important ties against Stanislas Wawrinka in the 2016 final, and the 2019 R16 clash through injuries. In 2020, he was disqualified for angrily hitting the ball that hurt the lineswoman. At that moment, Novak was a huge favorite to win the title in the Big Apple.

The Serbian then came up against run-and-gun Daniil Medvedev in the 2021 final in what was easily the best performance of the Russian’s career. Finally, Novak was not able to feature at all last year on the grounds of remaining unvaccinated from Covid-19.

He will surely be as motivated as ever to regain the throne after the shocking loss in the Wimbledon final. We don’t see him getting stopped by anyone bar Alcaraz as we should be ready for another blockbuster final between the two best players on the planet at the moment.

Whether Novak has what it takes to dispatch the Spaniard in that final is up for debate. We can see a world in which he beats Carlos — after all, he is the one who owns 23 majors in his cabinet. Nonetheless, the Serbian will still be the underdog in that potential final, which is why our money goes to Carlitos. Those who do trust in Novak can get him at +160 with FanDuel to win his 24th slam this September in New York.

Head to FanDuel to back Novak at +160 »

The Rest of The Pack

We feel the men’s tournament will be a two-horse race, as it is very difficult to see any player interfering based on the displays from Alcaraz and Djokovic in the previous two grand slam events.

However, it would be unfair not to mention the biggest dark horses:

US Open 2023 Men’s Singles: Underdogs Worth Betting On

These dark horses have the strongest chance of pulling an upset at the 2023 US Open in NYC, along with where you can find the best odds to back these underdogs.

We must underline a significant difference in odds between FanDuel and the other leading US sportsbooks for 2023 US Open Futures betting. If you trust any of the aforementioned tennis stars to do well in New York and go all the way to Flushing Meadows, you will get the best value odds at FanDuel Sportsbook by some distance.

Learn More: Ranking the Top US Online Sportsbook Bonuses: Value, Terms, & Commitment.

Iga Świątek to Defend Her US Open Crown at +250 With DraftKings

Iga Świątek successfully defended her Roland Garros title in May this year, and she is now seeking the same achievement at the US Open, following her maiden New York crown in 2022. The World No. 1 now has four grand slam trophies to her name. She still has to work hard to match all of her last year’s achievements, as Iga has only claimed half of her eight last season’s titles this year.

Świątek surprisingly lost the Wimbledon quarterfinal to Elina Svitolina before regaining confidence with the Warsaw title following a commanding 6-0 6-1 win in the final against Laura Siegemund in late July.

However, the Polish superstar did not show her best form in Montreal, where she played three consecutive three-setters before falling to later champion Jessica Pegula in the semifinal.

To defend her New York crown, Świątek still has to be considered the main favorite (as confirmed by the sportsbooks’ odds). She loves the slower surface at the Flushing Meadows, and it will take something special for anyone to take her down on her top form. Therefore we will go for the +250 odds for the reigning champion to go all the way this September, offered at DraftKings.

Bet on Świątek at +250 at DraftKings Sportsbook »

Rating Świątek’s Three Main Challengers

Świątek stands out as the primary title contender ahead of the tournament, but she will have three big challengers who stand out in comparison with the rest of the field.

Świątek, Rybakina, and Sabalenka have taken five of the previous six grand slams as Marketa Vondrousova ended their streak by beating Ons Jabeur in the Wimbledon final earlier this year.

Speaking of Jabeur, it was her third loss in the grand slam final, which makes her a legitimate candidate for the silverware in New York. Let’s find out who of the mentioned three players is the likeliest to threaten Iga’s reign at Arthur Ashe.

Ons Jabeur at +1500 With FanDuel

The Tunisian has featured in three finals at the last five grand slam tournaments. To make her achievement even greater, the finals have all come at different events. The run includes this year’s Wimbledon, when Ons Jabeur fell to first-time major finalist Marketa Vondrousova in straight sets.

The Tunisian superstar had earlier eliminated the likes of Bianca Andreescu, Petra Kvitova, Elena Rybakina, and Aryna Sabalenka en route to the final on the All England Club courts.

Jabeur had a fantastic run at the US Open last year, dropping just a single set on the way to the final against Iga Świątek. Based on everything we have seen from her in the last couple of years, Ons is well worth backing to win her maiden grand slam title this year in New York at the super-attractive +1500 odds with FanDuel.

Put your money on Jabeur with FanDuel’s +1500 odds »

Aryna Sabalenka at +500 With FanDuel/DraftKings

Aryna Sabalenka got off to a dream start this year, claiming her inaugural grand slam title by beating Elena Rybakina in the Australian Open final. The Belarusian star showed a champion’s mentality by securing a comeback after dropping the opening set against a flying-high opponent who had previously earned a massive confidence boost by winning Wimbledon in 2022.

Sabalenka continued their excellent season by reaching the finals in Indian Wells, Stuttgart, and Madrid before an inexplicable third-set failure against Karolina Muchova in the French Open semifinal. She had a convincing lead back then, but her game completely fell apart as she allowed her rival a shocking late comeback at Philippe-Chatrier.

Aryna also made it to the semifinal at Wimbledon, meaning she has reached the last-four phase of each grand slam even this year. With this form, she has to enter the closest range of contenders. We still believe Ons Jabeur offers much better value at +1500, but if you trust Sabalenka more, she is more than a viable option to take the US Open crown at the +500 odds.

Elena Rybakina at +650 With FanDuel

Elena Rybakina has only won five titles in her career. However, one of these five came last year at Wimbledon, taking her to new heights in women’s tennis. Elena phenomenally entered this season on the back of her inaugural major trophy.

Rybakina made it to the final of the Australian Open, where she fell to Aryna Sabalenka, only to get her revenge and beat the same rival less than two months later in the Indian Wells final. The Kazakh star then also played in the Miami final (a loss to Petra Kvitova).

She cake-walked the WTA Rome trophy before suffering an injury that forced her to withdraw from her third-round tie at the Roland Garros against Sara Sorribes-Tormo. Rybakina then made it to the Wimbledon quarterfinal and the Montreal semifinal, proving that the injury is behind her. She is +650 to win the trophy at the 2023 US Open, and we would rank her as the fourth prime candidate to do so.

Bet on Rybakina to take the gold at +650 odds with FanDuel Sportsbook »

Pegula and Samsonova Lead the Rest

The list of potential title candidates is always longer in women’s tournaments. The mere fact that five different women have won the US Open in the last six years best confirms it.

Marketa Vondrousova also confirmed it a couple of months ago by shockingly beating Ons Jabeur in the Wimbledon final. That said, the four aforementioned major contenders stand out for valid reasons.

As for the rest of the playing field, we give the best chances to recent Montreal finalists Jessica Pegula and Liudmila Samsonova, who have shown scintillating tennis earlier this month in Canada.

US Open 2023 Women’s Singles: Best Bets

From favorites to underdogs, these are the women to watch (and wager on) for this year’s US Open.